Certainly Uncertain

TLDR 

MARKET RECAP → Stocks slipped out of positive territory on Thursday as uncertainty continues to whipsaw the market on a seemingly daily basis.

FEBRUARY HOME SALES JUMP DESPITE HIGH MORTGAGE RATES → Home sales defied expectations, rising 4.2% in February as buyers returned despite high rates. Inventory grew, but supply remained tight, keeping prices elevated. 🏡

TRUMP PUSHES FED TO CUT RATES AS TARIFFS SHAKE MARKETS → Trump urged the Fed to cut rates to ease the impact of his tariffs, but Powell signaled caution. Markets braced for inflation risks, with rate cuts likely delayed until June. 🚨

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MARKETS

Market Snapshot

Today’s S&P 500 Heatmap

Notable Earnings This Week

TODAY’S TOP NEWS

February Home Sales Jump Despite High Mortgage Rates

🏡 Inventory boost, but still tight: Housing supply grew 17% year over year to 1.24 million units, but at just a 3.5-month supply, the market remained competitive. The median home price hit $398,400, a record high for February.

💰 Cash buyers hold steady, investors retreat: First-time buyers increased to 31% of sales, while investors pulled back to 16%. With 32% of transactions still all-cash, more owner-occupants appeared to be driving purchases.

TODAY’S TOP NEWS

🚨 Trump Pressures Fed to Cut Rates Amid Tariff Uncertainty

📉 Trump Pushed for Rate Cuts – After staying quiet on the Fed, Trump called for immediate rate cuts to ease the economic impact of his tariffs, dubbing April 2nd “Liberation Day” as his trade policies take full effect.

🔥 Inflation vs. Growth Tug-of-War – While lower rates could help buffer the economy, they might also fuel inflation. Markets expected the Fed to wait until June before making a move, with Powell emphasizing caution amid uncertainty.

💰 Bond Market in Focus – The White House prioritized lowering long-term borrowing costs over Fed rate cuts, with Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent focusing on bringing down 10-year Treasury yields. Markets remained on edge over Trump’s next tariff moves.

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