Circle Slump

TLDR

MARKET RECAP → The S&P 500 rose 1.13% (VOO) and NASDAQ (QQQ) gained 1.33%, both touching new highs after July CPI data came in at 2.7% annually, slightly below forecasts. Market participants boosted bets on a September Fed rate cut, with odds nearing 94%.

🚀 CIRCLE’S REVENUE POPS, PROFIT FIZZLES → Q2 sales jumped 38% on USDC growth, but earnings lagged as costs climbed, sending shares lower despite global adoption momentum.

🔥 INFLATION HEATS UP AGAIN → July inflation hit 3.3% YoY, driven by stubborn shelter costs, forcing markets to dial back expectations for big Fed cuts next month.

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CRYPTO

Circle’s Revenue Pops, Profit Fizzles

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📈 Top Line Surges: Circle (CRCL) posted Q2 revenue of $596.9 million, up 38% year over year, driven by higher interest income from USDC reserves and increased blockchain activity. The results topped analyst expectations.

💸 Earnings Miss the Mark: Adjusted EPS came in at $0.08, below the $0.12 consensus, as rising expenses—particularly in compliance and product development—offset revenue gains. Shares fell about 7% in after-hours trading.

🌐 USDC’s Global Reach Expands: CEO Jeremy Allaire highlighted USDC’s growing role in cross-border payments and stablecoin settlements, noting adoption gains in Asia and Latin America as Circle pushes for regulatory clarity worldwide.

ECONOMICS

Inflation Heats Up Again

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📊 Prices Outpace Forecasts: July CPI rose 3.3% year over year, up from June’s 3.0% and just above estimates. On a monthly basis, prices climbed 0.2%, with housing and energy the main offenders.

🏠 Shelter Stays Sticky: Shelter costs rose 0.4% in July, keeping inflation elevated despite cooling in goods prices. Economists say this persistent housing pressure is making it harder for the Fed to claim victory.

🏦 Markets Rethink Fed Cuts: A hotter CPI print dented hopes for aggressive rate cuts, with traders now betting on a smaller September move. Bond yields jumped, stocks wobbled, and the dollar found fresh strength.

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