TLDR 

MARKET RECAP → Stocks were little-changed on Tuesday as investors struggled to build on Monday’s gains, grappling with the uncertainty of how impactful U.S. tariffs will be ahead of “Liberation Day” on April 2.

TRUMP ADMINISTRATION’S ACCIDENTAL WAR PLAN LEAK📱→ A Trump official mistakenly added a journalist to a Signal chat revealing Yemen strike details, prompting internal fallout and questions about national security protocols.

RECESSION ODDS NEAR 50%, DEUTSCHE BANK SURVEY INDICATES → 📉 Deutsche Bank's latest survey shows a 50% probability of a U.S. recession within the next year, highlighting growing concerns over inflation and monetary policy impacts.

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MARKETS

Market Snapshot

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Notable Earnings This Week

TODAY’S TOP NEWS

Trump Administration’s Accidental War Plan Leak

Group Chat Gone Wrong: 📱 A top Trump administration official accidentally added The Atlantic’s editor-in-chief to a Signal group chat discussing imminent airstrikes in Yemen, exposing classified military plans, including targets and timing.

Scramble and Denials: 🚨 The NSC confirmed the messages’ authenticity and launched a review, while Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth insisted “nobody was texting war plans,” contradicting the actual content shared.

Security Slip Raises Eyebrows: 🔐 The blunder highlighted ongoing concerns over how the administration handles sensitive information—and prompted new scrutiny of communications practices among top national security officials.

TODAY’S TOP NEWS

Recession Odds Near 50%, Deutsche Bank Survey Indicates

Rising Recession Concerns: 📉 A recent Deutsche Bank survey reveals that market professionals now estimate a 50% chance of a U.S. recession within the next year, up from 30% in the previous quarter.​

Inflation and Policy Impact: 💰 Persistent inflation and the Federal Reserve's tightening monetary policies are cited as primary factors contributing to the increased recession risk.​

Market Implications: 📊 Investors are advised to brace for potential market volatility and consider adjusting portfolios to mitigate risks associated with an economic downturn.

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