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TLDR

😰 MARKET RECAP → Stocks were not on sturdy footing today as the Fed cut rates but said another one this year is not a “foregone conclusion,” throwing a bucket of ice cold water on the futures traders who placed nearly a 90% chance of just that only yesterday.

📉FISERV SHOCK → Fiserv’s (FI) Q3 miss, coupled with a drastic cut to its 2025 outlook and major executive overhaul, triggered a >40% stock slide. Investors should expect volatility until the turnaround plan earns trust.

🏦 FED CUTS AGAIN → The Fed trimmed rates by a quarter of a percent— or 25 basis points (“bps”)— but Powell denied a December cut is locked in—injecting caution back into markets despite relief from the move.

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MARKETS

Market Snapshot

Today’s S&P 500 Heatmap

Notable Earnings Next Week

FINTECH

Fiserv Shock

Gemini

💥 Earnings Miss & Guidance Cut. Fiserv Inc. (FI) reported Q3 adjusted earnings of ~$2.04 per share and roughly $4.9 billion in revenue, both well below analyst expectations. The company slashed its full-year guidance: now projecting organic revenue growth of just 3.5–4% (vs ~10% prior) and adjusted EPS between $8.50–$8.60 (vs ~$10.15–$10.30 prior).

🔄 Leadership Shake-Up & Strategy Reset. New CEO Mike Lyons, in office since May, announced a five-point action plan alongside board and executive changes. The firm said performance in Argentina and delayed investments weighed heavily on results, highlighting pressure in its Merchant & Financial Solutions units

📉 Market Impact & Investor Takeaway. Fiserv shares plunged over 40%, marking one of its worst single-day moves ever—and dragging the stock to its lowest in five years. For investors: the sharp reset signals increased risk—any rebound may need strong execution and visible growth recovery to regain confidence.

ECONOMICS

Fed Cuts Again

🏦 Another rate drop. The Federal Reserve cut its benchmark interest rate by a quarter-point (25 bps), responding to growth worries and a cooling labour market.

📉 Rate outlook murky. Chair Jerome Powell signalled that a December rate cut is not a certainty, citing sharp internal division and limited economic visibility amid the government shutdown.

🔍 Markets parse the message. Stocks rallied modestly and Treasury yields fell as the Fed paused tightening—yet mixed signals about the path forward left investors with plenty of questions.

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